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Forecasting Healthy Futures is a unique group of global health, technology and public sector partners coming together to develop weather data-informed strategies and policies to improve health outcomes and accelerate progress against deadly mosquito-borne diseases.

This initiative, convened by Malaria No More, will integrate micro-weather data and associated analytics with other disease risk and epidemiological data to better inform and enhance global efforts to combat mosquito-borne diseases. By harnessing weather data, governments and partners can turn weather obstacles into opportunities by more precisely targeting and timing health interventions to reduce the increased risk that extreme weather and changing weather patterns pose, especially on those most vulnerable.

AN EVIDENCE-BASED APPROACH

Mosquito

Forecasting Healthy Futures will develop evidence-based systems that anticipate and track emerging transmission patterns for mosquito-borne diseases to inform and strengthen mosquito-borne disease management.


  • The initiative will combine weather data with disease risk, mosquito population and vectoral capacity, intervention coverage, supply chain and epidemiological data sets.
  • Working closely with vector-borne disease program managers in malaria-affected countries, the initiative will apply a mix of geospatial, data-visualization and, potentially, machine-learning tools, that identify opportunities to better target how, when and where to deploy critical health interventions.
  • The list of relevant interventions may include targeting and timing of mass drug administration, mass screening campaigns, insecticide spraying campaigns, distribution of long-lasting insecticidal nets, stocking of antimalarials, deployment of frontline health workers, and targeting of health education messages.

PARTNERS AND COLLABORATORS

Lending their support and expertise, Forecasting Healthy Futures partners and collaborators will combine their distinctive health, data, policy and weather expertise—and build on proven strategies to test and scale this innovative model.


  • Under its Reaching the Last Mile Global Health Initiative, the Abu Dhabi Crown Prince Court is supporting Forecasting Healthy Futures with seed funding and technical expertise from across its networks.

  • Malaria No More, PATH and the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) will provide health expertise and programmatic and policy guidance to countries, policymakers and other initiative partners.

  • The Tableau Foundation is providing financial support, software licenses and training to boost data analytics and visualization capabilities.

  • IBM’s The Weather Company will provide data sets on weather conditions related to mosquito activity and proliferation, as well as analytical support.

BACKGROUND

The world has made enormous progress addressing the threat of mosquito-borne diseases. The global campaign to end malaria, for example, is one of the great public health successes of our time: Since 2000, 7 million lives have been saved, more than 1 billion cases have been prevented, and US$2 trillion in economic benefits have been unlocked for the malaria-affected world.

Yet despite the tremendous progress, mosquito-borne diseases, including malaria, dengue, chikungunya, yellow fever and Zika, remain a major global health challenge that disproportionately affects the world’s most marginalized populations. These diseases are also climate-sensitive: changing weather patterns are introducing new challenges in efforts to effectively prevent, control and eliminate them. For example, cyclones or heavy rains can increase the risk, timing, location and severity of disease, and prevent access to life-saving health interventions.

As extreme weather events become more commonplace, there is increased urgency to anticipate and accelerate progress against mosquito-borne diseases and to mitigate their impact on those most at-risk, particularly pregnant women and children under 5 in sub-Saharan Africa.

GET IN TOUCH

To learn more about global and MNM efforts to end malaria, please reach out.